Australian Bureau of Meteorology Technical Bulletin (0644 UTC 08/03/2025)
FINAL BULLETIN: This is the final technical bulletin for Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred. There will be no further bulletins for this system unless it reintensifies.
SYSTEM UPDATE: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred continues to weaken with maximum winds now at 45 km/h (25 knots) and gusts up to 85 km/h. It remains nearly stationary off Bribie Island (moving west at only 2 km/h) and is expected to cross the mainland coast between Maroochydore and Caboolture this evening.
Sat, 8 Mar, 06:00 UTC
Speed:
Current Position:
26.9°S, 153.3°E
Wind Speed:
45 km/h (25 knots)
Wind Gusts:
85 km/h (45 knots)
Central Pressure:
1000 hPa
Category:
Tropical Low
Expected Landfall:
Between Maroochydore and Caboolture this evening
Movement:
West at 2 km/h (1 knot)
RAINFALL WARNING: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred is expected to cause heavy rainfall over southeast Queensland and northeast New South Wales during the weekend. While direct wind impacts have diminished, flooding remains a concern.
Technical Bulletin Highlights
- Ex-Tropical Cyclone Alfred lies off Bribie Island and is very slow moving
- Expected to cross the mainland coast between Maroochydore and Caboolture this evening
- Gales associated with Alfred's circulation have eased
- Synoptically enhanced gales (interaction with high pressure system) occurring along northern Byron coast and southern Gold Coast
- Position based on radar imagery and surface observations with good confidence
- Dvorak analysis: DT unable to be obtained, MET is 1.5 based on a 24-hour W trend
- Expected to cause heavy rain over southeast Queensland and northeast New South Wales during the weekend